Expeditors International Of Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.02
| EXPD Stock | USD 113.07 1.02 0.89% |
Closest to current price Expeditors long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Expeditors |
Expeditors International Target Price Odds to finish below 74.02
The tendency of Expeditors Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 74.02 or more in 90 days |
| 113.07 | 90 days | 74.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expeditors International to drop to $ 74.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Expeditors International of probability density function shows the probability of Expeditors Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Expeditors International price to stay between $ 74.02 and its current price of $113.07 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 suggesting Expeditors International of market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Expeditors International is expected to follow. Additionally Expeditors International of has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Expeditors International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Expeditors International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expeditors International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expeditors International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Expeditors International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expeditors International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expeditors International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expeditors International of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expeditors International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Expeditors International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expeditors International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expeditors International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Expeditors International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Is a Beat Ahead for Southwest Airlines Q1 Earnings |
Expeditors International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Expeditors Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Expeditors International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expeditors International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Expeditors International Technical Analysis
Expeditors International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Expeditors Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Expeditors International of. In general, you should focus on analyzing Expeditors Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Expeditors International Predictive Forecast Models
Expeditors International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Expeditors International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Expeditors International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Expeditors International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Expeditors International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Expeditors International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Expeditors International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Is a Beat Ahead for Southwest Airlines Q1 Earnings |
Check out Expeditors International Backtesting, Expeditors International Valuation, Expeditors International Correlation, Expeditors International Hype Analysis, Expeditors International Volatility, Expeditors International History as well as Expeditors International Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Expeditors Stock analysis
When running Expeditors International's price analysis, check to measure Expeditors International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expeditors International is operating at the current time. Most of Expeditors International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expeditors International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expeditors International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expeditors International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Expeditors International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expeditors International. If investors know Expeditors will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Expeditors International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 1.38 | Earnings Share 5.01 | Revenue Per Share 62.358 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.34) |
The market value of Expeditors International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expeditors that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expeditors International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expeditors International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Expeditors International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expeditors International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Expeditors International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expeditors International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expeditors International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.