Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 8.81 30 days 8.81 
about 77.31
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 77.31 (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1313 suggesting Ford Motor Company market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ford Motor is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ford Motor is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ford Motor Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.13
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.09

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by William Helman of 160 shares of Ford Motor subject to Rule 16b-3

Ford MotorPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.17%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float3.63%
Float Shares3.89B
Shares Short Prior Month125.37M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day40.21M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month34.88M
Date Short InterestOctober 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.64%