Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

F -- USA Stock  

USD 8.54  0.15  1.73%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 8.54 30 days 8.54  ABOUT 67.15%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 67.15% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1352 suggesting Ford Motor Company market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ford Motor is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ford Motor is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ford Motor Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.08
β
Beta against DOW=1.14
σ
Overall volatility
=0.16
Ir
Information ratio =0.05

Ford Motor Alerts

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Price Density Drivers

Ford Motor Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out2.30%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float2.34%
Float Shares3.9B
Shares Short Prior Month108.86M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day48.67M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month44.66M
Date Short InterestFebruary 28, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.90%
Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance. Please also try Fundamentals Matrix module to view fundamentals matrix and analyze how accounts are interrelated and interconnected with each other.
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