Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 12.621029

F -- USA Stock  

USD 10.98  0.13  1.20%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish below 12.621029

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 12.62  after 30 days
 10.98 30 days 12.62  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to stay under $ 12.62  after 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between its current price of $ 10.98  and $ 12.62  at the end of the 30-day period is about 85.87%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.0 suggesting unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and Ford Motor are completely uncorrelated. Additionally Ford Motor CompanyIt does not look like Ford Motor alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
 Ford Motor Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00
β
Beta against DOW=0.00
σ
Overall volatility
=0.37
Ir
Information ratio =0.00

Ford Motor Alerts

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions
Ford Motor generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by Bradley Gayton of 13033 shares of Ford Motor subject to Rule 16b-3
Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance. Please also try Premium Stories module to follow macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.