Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 12.658971

F -- USA Stock  

USD 9.54  0.05  0.53%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over 12.658971

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.66  or more in 30 days
 9.54 30 days 12.66  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move over $ 12.66  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between its current price of $ 9.54  and $ 12.66  at the end of the 30-day period is about 17.48%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.9758 suggesting Ford Motor Company market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Ford Motor is expected to follow. Additionally Ford Motor Company has an alpha of 0.5143 implying that it can potentially generate 0.5143% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Ford Motor Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.51
β
Beta against DOW=0.98
σ
Overall volatility
=0.45
Ir
Information ratio =0.19

Ford Motor Alerts

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
FORD MOTOR CO has accumulated about 25.11 B in cash with (1.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.3.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Higher prices start to dent US auto demand

Price Density Drivers

Ford Motor Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out3.30%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float3.34%
Float Shares3.91B
Shares Short Prior Month118.33M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day50.55M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month47.38M
Date Short InterestOctober 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.34%
Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance. Please also try ETF Directory module to find actively-traded exchange traded funds (etf) from around the world.
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