Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
|Horizon||30 Days Login to change|
Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over 14.47
|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move over $ 14.47 or more in 30 days|
|8.50||30 days||14.47||CLOSE TO ZERO PERCENT|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move over $ 14.47 or more in 30 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between its current price of $ 8.50 and $ 14.47 at the end of the 30-day period is about 92.02%.Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.7249 suggesting as returns on market go up, Ford Motor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ford Motor Company has an alpha of 0.0551 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0551% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Ford Motor Price Density
|Alpha over DOW||=||0.06|
|Beta against DOW||=||0.72|
Ford Motor Technical Analysis
Ford Motor Predictive Forecast Models
|Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years|
|Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments|
|FORD MOTOR CO has accumulated about 23.61B in cash with (284.12M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.93.|
|Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders|
|Shares Percent Shares Out||2.95%|
|Trailing Annual Dividend Rate||0.60|
|Short Percent Of Float||2.99%|
|Shares Short Prior Month||130.63M|
|Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day||44.94M|
|Average Daily Volume In Three Month||48.05M|
|Date Short Interest||November 15, 2018|
|Trailing Annual Dividend Yield||6.94%|
Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance. Please also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.