Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 15.08

Ford Motor Company -- USA Stock  

USD 11.46  0.35  3.15%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over 15.08

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 11.46 30 days 15.08  close to zero percent close to 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move over $ 15.08  or more in 30 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between its current price of $ 11.46  and $ 15.08  at the end of the 30-day period is nearly 4.27%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.2772 suggesting as returns on market go up, Ford Motor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ford Motor Company has an alpha of 0.11051816148181819 implying that it can potentially generate 0.11051816148181819% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
< 1%
Odds to move over $ 15.08  or more in 30 days
 Ford Motor Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.11
β
Beta against DOW=0.28
σ
Overall volatility
=0.30
Ir
Information ratio =0.088822

Current Sentiment - F

Ford Motor Investor Sentiment
Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Ford Motor Company. What is your opinion about investing in Ford Motor Company? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
Skip

BATS Exchange Efficient Frontier

Diversify in USA Market
The main assumption in equity investing is that a higher degree of volatility (or risk) means a higher potential (or expected) return on investment. Conversely, investors who take on a low degree of risk have a low expection for return.
Diversify Portfolios
You can create optimal portfolios in USA market or optimize your existing portfolio in one of two ways: 1) For any level of risk, select the one which has the highest expected return. 2) For any expected return, select the one which has the lowest volatility.
Diversify Portfolios
Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance. Please also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 stocks, funds, and etfs against different fundamentals.