Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 15.49

F -- USA Stock  

USD 9.55  0.04  0.42%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over 15.49

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.49  or more in 30 days
 9.55 30 days 15.49  CLOSE TO ZERO PERCENT
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move over $ 15.49  or more in 30 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between its current price of $ 9.55  and $ 15.49  at the end of the 30-day period is about 87.52%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.3929 suggesting as returns on market go up, Ford Motor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ford Motor Company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Ford Motor Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.58
β
Beta against DOW=0.39
σ
Overall volatility
=0.39
Ir
Information ratio =0.36

Ford Motor Alerts

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions
Ford Motor generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
FORD MOTOR CO has accumulated about 25.11 B in cash with (1.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.3.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On July 20, 2018 Ford Motor paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Ford Motor exotic insider transaction detected
Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.