|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to drop to $ 8.99 or more in 30 days|
| 9.78 ||30 days|| 8.99 || ABOUT 54.85%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to drop to $ 8.99 or more in 30 days from now is about 54.85% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between $ 8.99 and its current price of $9.78 at the end of the 30-day period is about 10.81%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor Company has beta of -0.7063 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Ford Motor are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Ford Motor Company is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ford Motor Company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
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