Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 9.45

F -- USA Stock  

Earnings Call : This Week

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over 9.45

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.45  or more in 30 days
 8.78 30 days 9.45 
about 33.36
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move over $ 9.45  or more in 30 days from now is about 33.36 (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between its current price of $ 8.78  and $ 9.45  at the end of the 30-day period is about 52.76 .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0336 suggesting Ford Motor Company market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ford Motor is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ford Motor is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ford Motor Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.16
β
Beta against DOW=1.03
σ
Overall volatility
=0.44
Ir
Information ratio =0.1

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Ford Motor exotic insider transaction detected

Ford MotorPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.21%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float3.60%
Float Shares3.91B
Shares Short Prior Month134.69M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day34.4M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month36.87M
Date Short InterestSeptember 30, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield7.01%
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