Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 9.75

F -- USA Stock  

USD 9.78  0.23  2.41%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish below 9.75

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.75  or more in 30 days
 9.78 30 days 9.75  ABOUT 67.68%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to drop to $ 9.75  or more in 30 days from now is about 67.68% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between $ 9.75  and its current price of $9.78 at the end of the 30-day period is near 1%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor Company has beta of -0.7063 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Ford Motor are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Ford Motor Company is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ford Motor Company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Ford Motor Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.14
β
Beta against DOW=0.71
σ
Overall volatility
=3.35
Ir
Information ratio =0.22

Ford Motor Alerts

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
FORD MOTOR CO has accumulated about 25.11 B in cash with (1.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.3.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Ford Motor exotic insider transaction detected

Price Density Drivers

Ford Motor Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out2.75%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float2.80%
Float Shares3.91B
Shares Short Prior Month102.55M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day36.46M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month38.37M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.40%
Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance. Please also try World Markets Correlation module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
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