Fuelcell Energy Pref Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 288.01
| FCELB Stock | USD 390.00 4.96 1.26% |
FuelCell |
FuelCell Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 288.01
The tendency of FuelCell Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 288.01 or more in 90 days |
| 390.00 | 90 days | 288.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FuelCell Energy to drop to $ 288.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FuelCell Energy Pref probability density function shows the probability of FuelCell Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FuelCell Energy Pref price to stay between $ 288.01 and its current price of $390.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FuelCell Energy has a beta of 0.0557. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FuelCell Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FuelCell Energy Pref will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FuelCell Energy Pref has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. FuelCell Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FuelCell Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FuelCell Energy Pref. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FuelCell Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FuelCell Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FuelCell Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FuelCell Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FuelCell Energy Pref, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FuelCell Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
FuelCell Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FuelCell Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FuelCell Energy Pref can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 130.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (147.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (27.77 M). | |
| FuelCell Energy Pref has accumulated about 456.48 M in cash with (112.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13. |
FuelCell Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FuelCell Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FuelCell Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FuelCell Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383.1 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 458.1 M |
FuelCell Energy Technical Analysis
FuelCell Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FuelCell Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FuelCell Energy Pref. In general, you should focus on analyzing FuelCell Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FuelCell Energy Predictive Forecast Models
FuelCell Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many FuelCell Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FuelCell Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FuelCell Energy Pref
Checking the ongoing alerts about FuelCell Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FuelCell Energy Pref help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 130.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (147.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (27.77 M). | |
| FuelCell Energy Pref has accumulated about 456.48 M in cash with (112.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13. |
Check out FuelCell Energy Backtesting, FuelCell Energy Valuation, FuelCell Energy Correlation, FuelCell Energy Hype Analysis, FuelCell Energy Volatility, FuelCell Energy History as well as FuelCell Energy Performance. For information on how to trade FuelCell Pink Sheet refer to our How to Trade FuelCell Pink Sheet guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for FuelCell Pink Sheet analysis
When running FuelCell Energy's price analysis, check to measure FuelCell Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FuelCell Energy is operating at the current time. Most of FuelCell Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FuelCell Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FuelCell Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FuelCell Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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