Forum Energy Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0432

FDCFF Stock  USD 0.09  0  3.44%   
Forum Energy's future price is the expected price of Forum Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Forum Energy Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Forum Energy Backtesting, Forum Energy Valuation, Forum Energy Correlation, Forum Energy Hype Analysis, Forum Energy Volatility, Forum Energy History as well as Forum Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Forum Energy's target price for which you would like Forum Energy odds to be computed.

Forum Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0432

The tendency of Forum OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.09 90 days 0.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forum Energy to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Forum Energy Metals probability density function shows the probability of Forum OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Forum Energy Metals price to stay between $ 0.04  and its current price of $0.0869 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Forum Energy has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Forum Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Forum Energy Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Forum Energy Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Forum Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Forum Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forum Energy Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Forum Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.095.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.085.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Forum Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Forum Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Forum Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Forum Energy Metals.

Forum Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forum Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forum Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forum Energy Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forum Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Forum Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forum Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forum Energy Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Forum Energy Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Forum Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Forum Energy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Forum Energy Metals has accumulated about 3.14 M in cash with (3.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.

Forum Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Forum OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Forum Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forum Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding166.4 M

Forum Energy Technical Analysis

Forum Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Forum OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Forum Energy Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Forum OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Forum Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Forum Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Forum Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Forum Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Forum Energy Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Forum Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Forum Energy Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Forum Energy Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Forum Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Forum Energy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Forum Energy Metals has accumulated about 3.14 M in cash with (3.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Check out Forum Energy Backtesting, Forum Energy Valuation, Forum Energy Correlation, Forum Energy Hype Analysis, Forum Energy Volatility, Forum Energy History as well as Forum Energy Performance.
Note that the Forum Energy Metals information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Forum Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Forum OTC Stock analysis

When running Forum Energy's price analysis, check to measure Forum Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forum Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Forum Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forum Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forum Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forum Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Forum Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forum Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forum Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.