Frequency Electronics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.09
| FEIM Stock | USD 9.84 0.11 1.13% |
Frequency |
Frequency Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 8.09
The tendency of Frequency Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.09 or more in 90 days |
| 9.84 | 90 days | 8.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frequency Electronics to drop to $ 8.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Frequency Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Frequency Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frequency Electronics price to stay between $ 8.09 and its current price of $9.84 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Frequency Electronics will likely underperform. Additionally Frequency Electronics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Frequency Electronics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Frequency Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frequency Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Frequency Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Frequency Electronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frequency Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frequency Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frequency Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frequency Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Frequency Electronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frequency Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frequency Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Frequency Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 40.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.6 M. | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Frequency Electronics Stock Price Has Reduced 20 percent In The Past Year - Yahoo Movies Canada |
Frequency Electronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frequency Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frequency Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frequency Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12 M |
Frequency Electronics Technical Analysis
Frequency Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frequency Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frequency Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frequency Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Frequency Electronics Predictive Forecast Models
Frequency Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Frequency Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frequency Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Frequency Electronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Frequency Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frequency Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Frequency Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 40.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.6 M. | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Frequency Electronics Stock Price Has Reduced 20 percent In The Past Year - Yahoo Movies Canada |
Check out Frequency Electronics Backtesting, Frequency Electronics Valuation, Frequency Electronics Correlation, Frequency Electronics Hype Analysis, Frequency Electronics Volatility, Frequency Electronics History as well as Frequency Electronics Performance. To learn how to invest in Frequency Stock, please use our How to Invest in Frequency Electronics guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Frequency Stock analysis
When running Frequency Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Frequency Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Frequency Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Frequency Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Frequency Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Frequency Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Frequency Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Frequency Electronics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Frequency Electronics. If investors know Frequency will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Frequency Electronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.394 | Earnings Share 0.35 | Revenue Per Share 5.608 | Return On Assets 0.0238 | Return On Equity 0.0931 |
The market value of Frequency Electronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Frequency that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Frequency Electronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Frequency Electronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Frequency Electronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Frequency Electronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Frequency Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Frequency Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Frequency Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.