F5 Networks Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 119.0

FFIV -- USA Stock  

USD 194.85  1.61  0.83%

F5 Networks probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of F5 Networks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify F5 Networks time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like F5 Networks odds to be computed. Additionally see F5 Networks Backtesting, F5 Networks Valuation, F5 Networks Correlation, F5 Networks Hype Analysis, F5 Networks Volatility, F5 Networks History as well as F5 Networks Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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F5 Networks Target Price Odds to finish below 119.0

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 119.00  or more in 30 days
 194.85 30 days 119.00  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of F5 Networks to drop to $ 119.00  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This F5 Networks probability density function shows the probability of F5 Networks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of F5 Networks price to stay between $ 119.00  and its current price of $194.85 at the end of the 30-day period is over 95.83%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, F5 Networks has beta of 0.1553 suggesting as returns on market go up, F5 Networks average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding F5 Networks will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally F5 Networks has an alpha of 0.2062 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2062% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 F5 Networks Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.21
β
Beta against DOW=0.16
σ
Overall volatility
=2.58
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

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Price Density Drivers

F5 Networks Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out8.11%
Short Percent Of Float8.93%
Float Shares60.66M
Shares Short Prior Month4.36M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day429.07k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month578.42k
Date Short InterestAugust 31, 2018
Additionally see F5 Networks Backtesting, F5 Networks Valuation, F5 Networks Correlation, F5 Networks Hype Analysis, F5 Networks Volatility, F5 Networks History as well as F5 Networks Performance. Please also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing balance of power indicator and other technical ratios.
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