Fidelity National Information Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 69.30

FIS Stock  USD 69.30  0.18  0.26%   
Fidelity National's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Fidelity National Information. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Fidelity National based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Fidelity National Information over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-22 CALL at $69.0 is a CALL option contract on Fidelity National's common stock with a strick price of 69.0 expiring on 2024-03-22. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-15 at 11:41:52 for $1.25 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.9, and an ask price of $1.05. The implied volatility as of the 18th of March 2024 is 25.34. View All Fidelity options

Closest to current price Fidelity long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Fidelity National's future price is the expected price of Fidelity National instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity National Information performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity National Backtesting, Fidelity National Valuation, Fidelity National Correlation, Fidelity National Hype Analysis, Fidelity National Volatility, Fidelity National History as well as Fidelity National Performance.
  
At this time, Fidelity National's Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to gain to 9.85 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.98 in 2024. Please specify Fidelity National's target price for which you would like Fidelity National odds to be computed.

Fidelity National Target Price Odds to finish over 69.30

The tendency of Fidelity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 69.30 90 days 69.30 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Fidelity National Information probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fidelity National will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0963, implying that it can generate a 0.0963 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fidelity National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fidelity National in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.9069.2970.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.5270.9572.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.9967.3868.77
Details
34 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
65.3371.7979.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fidelity National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fidelity National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fidelity National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fidelity National.

Fidelity National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity National Information, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.21
σ
Overall volatility
3.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Fidelity National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 19.34 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.42, which is OK given its current industry classification. Fidelity National has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Fidelity National until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fidelity National's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fidelity National sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fidelity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fidelity National's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of Fidelity National shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Disposition of 40510 shares by Firdaus Bhathena of Fidelity National at 72.88 subject to Rule 16b-3

Fidelity National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fidelity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fidelity National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidelity National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding591 M
Cash And Short Term Investments440 M

Fidelity National Technical Analysis

Fidelity National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity National Information. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity National Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity National's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity National

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 19.34 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.42, which is OK given its current industry classification. Fidelity National has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Fidelity National until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fidelity National's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fidelity National sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fidelity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fidelity National's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of Fidelity National shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Disposition of 40510 shares by Firdaus Bhathena of Fidelity National at 72.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Fidelity National is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fidelity National's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fidelity National's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fidelity Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Fidelity Stock analysis

When running Fidelity National's price analysis, check to measure Fidelity National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidelity National is operating at the current time. Most of Fidelity National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidelity National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidelity National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidelity National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fidelity National's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fidelity National. If investors know Fidelity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fidelity National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.202
Dividend Share
2.08
Earnings Share
0.85
Revenue Per Share
16.618
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Fidelity National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fidelity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fidelity National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fidelity National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fidelity National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fidelity National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.