Flsmidth Co As Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.75
FLIDY Stock | USD 4.53 0.00 0.00% |
FLSmidth |
FLSmidth Target Price Odds to finish over 6.75
The tendency of FLSmidth Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.75 or more in 90 days |
4.53 | 90 days | 6.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FLSmidth to move over $ 6.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FLSmidth Co AS probability density function shows the probability of FLSmidth Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FLSmidth Co AS price to stay between its current price of $ 4.53 and $ 6.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FLSmidth Co AS has a beta of -0.71. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FLSmidth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FLSmidth Co AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FLSmidth Co AS has an alpha of 0.2559, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FLSmidth Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for FLSmidth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FLSmidth Co AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FLSmidth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FLSmidth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FLSmidth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FLSmidth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FLSmidth Co AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FLSmidth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
FLSmidth Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FLSmidth Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FLSmidth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FLSmidth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 520.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
FLSmidth Technical Analysis
FLSmidth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FLSmidth Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FLSmidth Co AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing FLSmidth Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FLSmidth Predictive Forecast Models
FLSmidth's time-series forecasting models is one of many FLSmidth's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FLSmidth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FLSmidth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FLSmidth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FLSmidth options trading.
Check out FLSmidth Backtesting, FLSmidth Valuation, FLSmidth Correlation, FLSmidth Hype Analysis, FLSmidth Volatility, FLSmidth History as well as FLSmidth Performance. Note that the FLSmidth Co AS information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FLSmidth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for FLSmidth Pink Sheet analysis
When running FLSmidth's price analysis, check to measure FLSmidth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FLSmidth is operating at the current time. Most of FLSmidth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FLSmidth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FLSmidth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FLSmidth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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