PETRA DIAMONDS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.598
FPO Stock | EUR 0.48 0.00 0.00% |
PETRA |
PETRA DIAMONDS Target Price Odds to finish over 0.598
The tendency of PETRA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.60 or more in 90 days |
0.48 | 90 days | 0.60 | about 27.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PETRA DIAMONDS to move over 0.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.2 (This PETRA DIAMONDS probability density function shows the probability of PETRA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PETRA DIAMONDS price to stay between its current price of 0.48 and 0.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PETRA DIAMONDS has a beta of -0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PETRA DIAMONDS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PETRA DIAMONDS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PETRA DIAMONDS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. PETRA DIAMONDS Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for PETRA DIAMONDS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PETRA DIAMONDS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PETRA DIAMONDS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PETRA DIAMONDS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PETRA DIAMONDS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PETRA DIAMONDS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PETRA DIAMONDS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PETRA DIAMONDS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.67 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.41 |
PETRA DIAMONDS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PETRA DIAMONDS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PETRA DIAMONDS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.PETRA DIAMONDS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
PETRA DIAMONDS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
PETRA DIAMONDS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PETRA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PETRA DIAMONDS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PETRA DIAMONDS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 194.2 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 12.3 M |
PETRA DIAMONDS Technical Analysis
PETRA DIAMONDS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PETRA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PETRA DIAMONDS. In general, you should focus on analyzing PETRA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PETRA DIAMONDS Predictive Forecast Models
PETRA DIAMONDS's time-series forecasting models is one of many PETRA DIAMONDS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PETRA DIAMONDS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PETRA DIAMONDS
Checking the ongoing alerts about PETRA DIAMONDS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PETRA DIAMONDS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PETRA DIAMONDS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
PETRA DIAMONDS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Check out PETRA DIAMONDS Backtesting, PETRA DIAMONDS Valuation, PETRA DIAMONDS Correlation, PETRA DIAMONDS Hype Analysis, PETRA DIAMONDS Volatility, PETRA DIAMONDS History as well as PETRA DIAMONDS Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for PETRA Stock analysis
When running PETRA DIAMONDS's price analysis, check to measure PETRA DIAMONDS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PETRA DIAMONDS is operating at the current time. Most of PETRA DIAMONDS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PETRA DIAMONDS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PETRA DIAMONDS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PETRA DIAMONDS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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