Fraport Ag Frankfurt Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 50.31

FPRUY Stock  USD 23.99  0.04  0.17%   
Fraport AG's future price is the expected price of Fraport AG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fraport AG Frankfurt performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fraport AG Backtesting, Fraport AG Valuation, Fraport AG Correlation, Fraport AG Hype Analysis, Fraport AG Volatility, Fraport AG History as well as Fraport AG Performance.
  
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Fraport AG Target Price Odds to finish over 50.31

The tendency of Fraport Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 50.31  or more in 90 days
 23.99 90 days 50.31 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fraport AG to move over $ 50.31  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fraport AG Frankfurt probability density function shows the probability of Fraport Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fraport AG Frankfurt price to stay between its current price of $ 23.99  and $ 50.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fraport AG Frankfurt has a beta of -0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fraport AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fraport AG Frankfurt is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fraport AG Frankfurt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Fraport AG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fraport AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fraport AG Frankfurt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fraport AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3423.9925.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7021.3526.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.6324.2825.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9923.9923.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fraport AG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fraport AG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fraport AG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fraport AG Frankfurt.

Fraport AG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fraport AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fraport AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fraport AG Frankfurt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fraport AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Fraport AG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fraport AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fraport AG Frankfurt can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fraport AG Frankfurt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Fraport AG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fraport Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fraport AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fraport AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.8 B

Fraport AG Technical Analysis

Fraport AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fraport Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fraport AG Frankfurt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fraport Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fraport AG Predictive Forecast Models

Fraport AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fraport AG's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fraport AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fraport AG Frankfurt

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fraport AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fraport AG Frankfurt help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fraport AG Frankfurt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out Fraport AG Backtesting, Fraport AG Valuation, Fraport AG Correlation, Fraport AG Hype Analysis, Fraport AG Volatility, Fraport AG History as well as Fraport AG Performance.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for Fraport Pink Sheet analysis

When running Fraport AG's price analysis, check to measure Fraport AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fraport AG is operating at the current time. Most of Fraport AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fraport AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fraport AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fraport AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fraport AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fraport AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fraport AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.