Corporativo Fragua (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 239.98
| FRAGUAB Stock | MXN 750.00 6.25 0.84% |
Corporativo |
Corporativo Fragua Target Price Odds to finish over 239.98
The tendency of Corporativo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 239.98 in 90 days |
| 750.00 | 90 days | 239.98 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corporativo Fragua to stay above 239.98 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Corporativo Fragua SAB probability density function shows the probability of Corporativo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corporativo Fragua SAB price to stay between 239.98 and its current price of 750.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Corporativo Fragua has a beta of 0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Corporativo Fragua average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Corporativo Fragua SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Corporativo Fragua SAB has an alpha of 0.5628, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Corporativo Fragua Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Corporativo Fragua
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corporativo Fragua SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Corporativo Fragua's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Corporativo Fragua Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corporativo Fragua is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corporativo Fragua's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corporativo Fragua SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corporativo Fragua within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 72.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Corporativo Fragua Technical Analysis
Corporativo Fragua's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corporativo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corporativo Fragua SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corporativo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Corporativo Fragua Predictive Forecast Models
Corporativo Fragua's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corporativo Fragua's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corporativo Fragua's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Corporativo Fragua in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Corporativo Fragua's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Corporativo Fragua options trading.
Check out Corporativo Fragua Backtesting, Corporativo Fragua Valuation, Corporativo Fragua Correlation, Corporativo Fragua Hype Analysis, Corporativo Fragua Volatility, Corporativo Fragua History as well as Corporativo Fragua Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Corporativo Stock analysis
When running Corporativo Fragua's price analysis, check to measure Corporativo Fragua's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Corporativo Fragua is operating at the current time. Most of Corporativo Fragua's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Corporativo Fragua's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Corporativo Fragua's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Corporativo Fragua to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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