Guardian Capital Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.01
| GCG Stock | CAD 48.83 2.33 5.01% |
Guardian |
Guardian Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 24.01
The tendency of Guardian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 24.01 in 90 days |
| 48.83 | 90 days | 24.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardian Capital to stay above C$ 24.01 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Guardian Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of Guardian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guardian Capital price to stay between C$ 24.01 and its current price of C$48.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guardian Capital Group has a beta of -0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guardian Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guardian Capital Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guardian Capital Group has an alpha of 0.1496, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guardian Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guardian Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardian Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guardian Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guardian Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardian Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardian Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardian Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardian Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Guardian Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardian Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardian Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has accumulated 137.72 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 21.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Guardian Capital has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guardian Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guardian Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guardian Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guardian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guardian Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 77.0% of Guardian Capital shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Guardian Capital Group Shares Pass Above 200-Day Moving Average of 45.02 - Defense World |
Guardian Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guardian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guardian Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guardian Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.2 M |
Guardian Capital Technical Analysis
Guardian Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guardian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guardian Capital Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guardian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guardian Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Guardian Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guardian Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guardian Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guardian Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardian Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guardian Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has accumulated 137.72 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 21.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Guardian Capital has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guardian Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guardian Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guardian Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guardian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guardian Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 77.0% of Guardian Capital shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Guardian Capital Group Shares Pass Above 200-Day Moving Average of 45.02 - Defense World |
Check out Guardian Capital Backtesting, Guardian Capital Valuation, Guardian Capital Correlation, Guardian Capital Hype Analysis, Guardian Capital Volatility, Guardian Capital History as well as Guardian Capital Performance. Note that the Guardian Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guardian Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Guardian Stock analysis
When running Guardian Capital's price analysis, check to measure Guardian Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardian Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Guardian Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardian Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardian Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardian Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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