Gea Group Aktiengesellschaft Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 38.25
| GEAGF Stock | USD 41.42 0.00 0.00% |
GEA |
GEA Group Target Price Odds to finish below 38.25
The tendency of GEA Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 38.25 or more in 90 days |
| 41.42 | 90 days | 38.25 | about 1.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GEA Group to drop to $ 38.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.21 (This GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of GEA Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GEA Group Aktiengese price to stay between $ 38.25 and its current price of $41.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GEA Group has a beta of 0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GEA Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft has an alpha of 0.0484, implying that it can generate a 0.0484 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GEA Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GEA Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GEA Group Aktiengese. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GEA Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GEA Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GEA Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GEA Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GEA Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
GEA Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GEA Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GEA Group Aktiengese can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
GEA Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GEA Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GEA Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GEA Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.9 M |
GEA Group Technical Analysis
GEA Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GEA Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing GEA Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GEA Group Predictive Forecast Models
GEA Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many GEA Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GEA Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GEA Group Aktiengese
Checking the ongoing alerts about GEA Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GEA Group Aktiengese help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out GEA Group Backtesting, GEA Group Valuation, GEA Group Correlation, GEA Group Hype Analysis, GEA Group Volatility, GEA Group History as well as GEA Group Performance. Note that the GEA Group Aktiengese information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GEA Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for GEA Pink Sheet analysis
When running GEA Group's price analysis, check to measure GEA Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GEA Group is operating at the current time. Most of GEA Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GEA Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GEA Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GEA Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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