Ipath Series B Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 16.51

GRN Etf  USD 24.04  0.21  0.87%   
IPath Series' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on IPath Series B. Implied volatility approximates the future value of IPath Series based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in IPath Series B over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $23.0 is a CALL option contract on IPath Series' common stock with a strick price of 23.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $5.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 47.84. View All IPath options

Closest to current price IPath long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

IPath Series' future price is the expected price of IPath Series instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IPath Series B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IPath Series Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IPath Series Correlation, IPath Series Hype Analysis, IPath Series Volatility, IPath Series History as well as IPath Series Performance.
  
Please specify IPath Series' target price for which you would like IPath Series odds to be computed.

IPath Series Target Price Odds to finish over 16.51

The tendency of IPath Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 16.51  in 90 days
 24.04 90 days 16.51 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IPath Series to stay above $ 16.51  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This IPath Series B probability density function shows the probability of IPath Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IPath Series B price to stay between $ 16.51  and its current price of $24.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon IPath Series B has a beta of -0.87. This usually indicates Additionally IPath Series B has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   IPath Series Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IPath Series

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IPath Series B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IPath Series' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6924.3226.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9422.5725.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.3323.9626.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8824.5725.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IPath Series. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IPath Series' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IPath Series' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IPath Series B.

IPath Series Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IPath Series is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IPath Series' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IPath Series B, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IPath Series within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.87
σ
Overall volatility
2.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

IPath Series Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IPath Series for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IPath Series B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IPath Series B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: DFDS BESTILLER YDERLIGERE 100 E-LASTBILER FOR AT MDE VKST I EFTERSPRGSEL FOR GRN TRANSPORT
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

IPath Series Technical Analysis

IPath Series' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IPath Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IPath Series B. In general, you should focus on analyzing IPath Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IPath Series Predictive Forecast Models

IPath Series' time-series forecasting models is one of many IPath Series' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IPath Series' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IPath Series B

Checking the ongoing alerts about IPath Series for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IPath Series B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IPath Series B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: DFDS BESTILLER YDERLIGERE 100 E-LASTBILER FOR AT MDE VKST I EFTERSPRGSEL FOR GRN TRANSPORT
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
When determining whether IPath Series B offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of IPath Series' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ipath Series B Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ipath Series B Etf:

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When running IPath Series' price analysis, check to measure IPath Series' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IPath Series is operating at the current time. Most of IPath Series' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IPath Series' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IPath Series' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IPath Series to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of IPath Series B is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IPath Series' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IPath Series' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IPath Series' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IPath Series' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IPath Series' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IPath Series is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IPath Series' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.