Hashicorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.81

HCP Stock  USD 27.00  0.02  0.07%   
Hashicorp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hashicorp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hashicorp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hashicorp over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $27.0 is a CALL option contract on Hashicorp's common stock with a strick price of 27.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:37:32 for $1.1 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.95, and an ask price of $1.35. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 40.02. View All Hashicorp options

Closest to current price Hashicorp long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Hashicorp's future price is the expected price of Hashicorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hashicorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hashicorp Backtesting, Hashicorp Valuation, Hashicorp Correlation, Hashicorp Hype Analysis, Hashicorp Volatility, Hashicorp History as well as Hashicorp Performance.
To learn how to invest in Hashicorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hashicorp guide.
  
At this time, Hashicorp's Price Book Value Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.70, while Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop (600.47). Please specify Hashicorp's target price for which you would like Hashicorp odds to be computed.

Hashicorp Target Price Odds to finish below 42.81

The tendency of Hashicorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 42.81  after 90 days
 27.00 90 days 42.81 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hashicorp to stay under $ 42.81  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hashicorp probability density function shows the probability of Hashicorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hashicorp price to stay between its current price of $ 27.00  and $ 42.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.57 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.82 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hashicorp will likely underperform. Additionally Hashicorp has an alpha of 0.0335, implying that it can generate a 0.0335 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hashicorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hashicorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hashicorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hashicorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.3326.8630.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5529.0832.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.8826.4129.94
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.2432.1335.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hashicorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hashicorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hashicorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hashicorp.

Hashicorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hashicorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hashicorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hashicorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hashicorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Hashicorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hashicorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hashicorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hashicorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 583.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (190.67 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 388.92 M.
Hashicorp has about 1.29 B in cash with (7.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.93.
Hashicorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Arrow Electronics Introduces Intelligent Vision Ecosystem

Hashicorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hashicorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hashicorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hashicorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding193.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

Hashicorp Technical Analysis

Hashicorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hashicorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hashicorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hashicorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hashicorp Predictive Forecast Models

Hashicorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hashicorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hashicorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hashicorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hashicorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hashicorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hashicorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 583.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (190.67 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 388.92 M.
Hashicorp has about 1.29 B in cash with (7.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.93.
Hashicorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Arrow Electronics Introduces Intelligent Vision Ecosystem
When determining whether Hashicorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Hashicorp Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Hashicorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Hashicorp Stock:
Check out Hashicorp Backtesting, Hashicorp Valuation, Hashicorp Correlation, Hashicorp Hype Analysis, Hashicorp Volatility, Hashicorp History as well as Hashicorp Performance.
To learn how to invest in Hashicorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hashicorp guide.
Note that the Hashicorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hashicorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Hashicorp Stock analysis

When running Hashicorp's price analysis, check to measure Hashicorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hashicorp is operating at the current time. Most of Hashicorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hashicorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hashicorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hashicorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hashicorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hashicorp. If investors know Hashicorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hashicorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.98)
Revenue Per Share
3.009
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.147
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.16)
The market value of Hashicorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hashicorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hashicorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hashicorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hashicorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hashicorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hashicorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hashicorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hashicorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.