Hotis Othon (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 2.45
| HOOT4 Preferred Stock | BRL 2.78 0.02 0.71% |
Hotis |
Hotis Othon Target Price Odds to finish below 2.45
The tendency of Hotis Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 2.45 or more in 90 days |
| 2.78 | 90 days | 2.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hotis Othon to drop to R$ 2.45 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hotis Othon SA probability density function shows the probability of Hotis Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hotis Othon SA price to stay between R$ 2.45 and its current price of R$2.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hotis Othon has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hotis Othon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hotis Othon SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hotis Othon SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Hotis Othon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hotis Othon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hotis Othon SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hotis Othon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hotis Othon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hotis Othon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hotis Othon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hotis Othon SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hotis Othon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0033 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Hotis Othon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hotis Othon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hotis Othon SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hotis Othon SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hotis Othon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hotis Othon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hotis Othon SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hotis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hotis Othon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Hotis Othon SA reported the revenue of 46.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.02 M. | |
| Hotis Othon SA has accumulated about 22 K in cash with (45.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hotis Othon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hotis Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hotis Othon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hotis Othon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 M |
Hotis Othon Technical Analysis
Hotis Othon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hotis Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hotis Othon SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hotis Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hotis Othon Predictive Forecast Models
Hotis Othon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hotis Othon's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hotis Othon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hotis Othon SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hotis Othon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hotis Othon SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hotis Othon SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hotis Othon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hotis Othon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hotis Othon SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hotis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hotis Othon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Hotis Othon SA reported the revenue of 46.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.02 M. | |
| Hotis Othon SA has accumulated about 22 K in cash with (45.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Hotis Othon Backtesting, Hotis Othon Valuation, Hotis Othon Correlation, Hotis Othon Hype Analysis, Hotis Othon Volatility, Hotis Othon History as well as Hotis Othon Performance. Note that the Hotis Othon SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hotis Othon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Hotis Preferred Stock analysis
When running Hotis Othon's price analysis, check to measure Hotis Othon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hotis Othon is operating at the current time. Most of Hotis Othon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hotis Othon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hotis Othon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hotis Othon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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