Amplify Online Retail Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 53.53
| IBUY Etf | USD 52.41 0.53 1.00% |
Closest to current price Amplify long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Amplify |
Amplify Online Target Price Odds to finish below 53.53
The tendency of Amplify Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 53.53 after 90 days |
| 52.41 | 90 days | 53.53 | about 36.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amplify Online to stay under $ 53.53 after 90 days from now is about 36.9 (This Amplify Online Retail probability density function shows the probability of Amplify Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amplify Online Retail price to stay between its current price of $ 52.41 and $ 53.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.86 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Amplify Online will likely underperform. Additionally Amplify Online Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Amplify Online Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amplify Online
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Online Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amplify Online's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amplify Online Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amplify Online is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amplify Online's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amplify Online Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amplify Online within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0026 |
Amplify Online Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amplify Online for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amplify Online Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from zacks.com: Should You Invest in the VanEck Retail ETF | |
| The fund created three year return of -25.0% | |
| Amplify Online Retail retains 99.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Amplify Online Technical Analysis
Amplify Online's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amplify Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amplify Online Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amplify Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amplify Online Predictive Forecast Models
Amplify Online's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amplify Online's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amplify Online's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amplify Online Retail
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amplify Online for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amplify Online Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Should You Invest in the VanEck Retail ETF | |
| The fund created three year return of -25.0% | |
| Amplify Online Retail retains 99.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Amplify Online Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amplify Online Correlation, Amplify Online Hype Analysis, Amplify Online Volatility, Amplify Online History as well as Amplify Online Performance. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
The market value of Amplify Online Retail is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify Online's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify Online's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify Online's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify Online's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Online's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Online is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify Online's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.