Indofood Cbp (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8400.0
| ICBP Stock | IDR 10,200 100.00 0.99% |
Indofood |
Indofood Cbp Target Price Odds to finish below 8400.0
The tendency of Indofood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8,400 or more in 90 days |
| 10,200 | 90 days | 8,400 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indofood Cbp to drop to 8,400 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Indofood Cbp Sukses probability density function shows the probability of Indofood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indofood Cbp Sukses price to stay between 8,400 and its current price of 10200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indofood Cbp has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Indofood Cbp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indofood Cbp Sukses will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indofood Cbp Sukses has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Indofood Cbp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indofood Cbp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indofood Cbp Sukses. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indofood Cbp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Indofood Cbp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indofood Cbp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indofood Cbp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indofood Cbp Sukses, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indofood Cbp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 349.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Indofood Cbp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indofood Cbp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indofood Cbp Sukses can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indofood Cbp Sukses is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Indofood Cbp Sukses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Indofood Cbp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indofood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indofood Cbp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indofood Cbp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.7 T |
Indofood Cbp Technical Analysis
Indofood Cbp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indofood Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indofood Cbp Sukses. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indofood Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indofood Cbp Predictive Forecast Models
Indofood Cbp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indofood Cbp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indofood Cbp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indofood Cbp Sukses
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indofood Cbp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indofood Cbp Sukses help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indofood Cbp Sukses is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Indofood Cbp Sukses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Indofood Stock analysis
When running Indofood Cbp's price analysis, check to measure Indofood Cbp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indofood Cbp is operating at the current time. Most of Indofood Cbp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indofood Cbp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indofood Cbp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indofood Cbp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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