International Frontier Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03
| IFR Stock | CAD 0.06 0.01 14.29% |
International |
International Frontier Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03
The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Frontier to drop to C$ 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This International Frontier Resources probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Frontier price to stay between C$ 0.03 and its current price of C$0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon International Frontier Resources has a beta of -0.0928. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding International Frontier are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, International Frontier Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally International Frontier Resources has an alpha of 0.5442, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). International Frontier Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Frontier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Frontier. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Frontier's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
International Frontier Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Frontier is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Frontier's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Frontier Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Frontier within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
International Frontier Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Frontier for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Frontier can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| International Frontier is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| International Frontier has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| International Frontier appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| International Frontier has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (963.75 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (24.15 K). | |
| International Frontier Resources has accumulated about 547 K in cash with (458.4 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: IFR Closes First Tranche of Debt Settlement - Yahoo Finance |
International Frontier Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Frontier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Frontier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 299.1 M |
International Frontier Technical Analysis
International Frontier's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Frontier Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Frontier Predictive Forecast Models
International Frontier's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Frontier's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Frontier's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about International Frontier
Checking the ongoing alerts about International Frontier for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Frontier help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| International Frontier is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| International Frontier has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| International Frontier appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| International Frontier has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (963.75 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (24.15 K). | |
| International Frontier Resources has accumulated about 547 K in cash with (458.4 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: IFR Closes First Tranche of Debt Settlement - Yahoo Finance |
Check out International Frontier Backtesting, International Frontier Valuation, International Frontier Correlation, International Frontier Hype Analysis, International Frontier Volatility, International Frontier History as well as International Frontier Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for International Stock analysis
When running International Frontier's price analysis, check to measure International Frontier's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Frontier is operating at the current time. Most of International Frontier's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Frontier's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Frontier's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Frontier to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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