Indofood Sukses (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7150.0
| INDF Stock | IDR 6,500 0.00 0.00% |
Indofood |
Indofood Sukses Target Price Odds to finish below 7150.0
The tendency of Indofood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 7,150 after 90 days |
| 6,500 | 90 days | 7,150 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indofood Sukses to stay under 7,150 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Indofood Sukses Makmur probability density function shows the probability of Indofood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indofood Sukses Makmur price to stay between its current price of 6,500 and 7,150 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indofood Sukses Makmur has a beta of -0.0176. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Indofood Sukses are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Indofood Sukses Makmur is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Indofood Sukses Makmur has an alpha of 0.0303, implying that it can generate a 0.0303 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Indofood Sukses Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indofood Sukses
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indofood Sukses Makmur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indofood Sukses' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Indofood Sukses Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indofood Sukses is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indofood Sukses' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indofood Sukses Makmur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indofood Sukses within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 96.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Indofood Sukses Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indofood Sukses for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indofood Sukses Makmur can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indofood Sukses is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Indofood Sukses Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indofood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indofood Sukses' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indofood Sukses' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.6 T |
Indofood Sukses Technical Analysis
Indofood Sukses' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indofood Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indofood Sukses Makmur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indofood Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indofood Sukses Predictive Forecast Models
Indofood Sukses' time-series forecasting models is one of many Indofood Sukses' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indofood Sukses' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indofood Sukses Makmur
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indofood Sukses for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indofood Sukses Makmur help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indofood Sukses is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Indofood Stock analysis
When running Indofood Sukses' price analysis, check to measure Indofood Sukses' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indofood Sukses is operating at the current time. Most of Indofood Sukses' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indofood Sukses' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indofood Sukses' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indofood Sukses to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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