Bank Artha (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 75.0
| INPC Stock | IDR 65.00 2.00 3.17% |
Bank |
Bank Artha Target Price Odds to finish below 75.0
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 75.00 after 90 days |
| 65.00 | 90 days | 75.00 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Artha to stay under 75.00 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Bank Artha Graha probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Artha Graha price to stay between its current price of 65.00 and 75.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Artha has a beta of 0.0277. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Bank Artha average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Artha Graha will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Artha Graha has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Bank Artha Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Artha
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Artha Graha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Artha's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank Artha Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Artha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Artha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Artha Graha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Artha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Bank Artha Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Artha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Artha Graha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank Artha Graha is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Bank Artha Graha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.07 T. Net Loss for the year was (168.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 487.87 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bank Artha Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Artha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Artha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 B |
Bank Artha Technical Analysis
Bank Artha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Artha Graha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Artha Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Artha's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Artha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Artha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank Artha Graha
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Artha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Artha Graha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank Artha Graha is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Bank Artha Graha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.07 T. Net Loss for the year was (168.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 487.87 B. | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis
When running Bank Artha's price analysis, check to measure Bank Artha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Artha is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Artha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Artha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Artha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Artha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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