Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 40.92

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 47.46  0.66  1.37%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 40.92

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 40.92  in 30 days
 47.46 30 days 40.92  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to stay above $ 40.92  in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Intel Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Intel price to stay between $ 40.92  and its current price of $47.46 at the end of the 30-day period is about 5.46%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.4748 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Intel will likely underperform. Additionally Intel Corporation has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Intel Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.34
β
Beta against DOW=1.47
σ
Overall volatility
=1.71
Ir
Information ratio =0.17

Intel Alerts

Intel Alerts and Suggestions
Intel generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On August 6, 2018 Intel paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by Navin Shenoy of 2784 shares of Intel subject to Rule 16b-3
Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance. Please also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .