Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 40.92

Intel Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 45.38  0.18  0.40%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 40.92

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 45.38 30 days 40.92  close to 100% near 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to stay above $ 40.92  in 30 days from now is close to 100%. Probability of Intel price to stay between $ 40.92  and its current price of $45.38 at the end of the 30-day period is about 38.11%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Intel has beta of 0.1485 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Intel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Intel Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intel Corporation has an alpha of 0.16495566988636357 implying that it can potentially generate 0.16495566988636357% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
> 99%
Odds to stay above $ 40.92  in 30 days
 Intel Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.16
β
Beta against DOW=0.15
σ
Overall volatility
=1.88
Ir
Information ratio =0.098939