Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 40.93375

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 48.32  0.49  1.02%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish below 40.93375

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 40.93  or more in 30 days
 48.32 30 days 40.93  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to drop to $ 40.93  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Intel Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Intel price to stay between $ 40.93  and its current price of $48.32 at the end of the 30-day period is about 81.7%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.3645 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Intel will likely underperform. Additionally Intel Corporation has an alpha of 0.3101 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3101% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Intel Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.31
β
Beta against DOW=1.36
σ
Overall volatility
=1.72
Ir
Information ratio =0.1

Intel Alerts

Intel Alerts and Suggestions

About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Price Density Drivers

Intel Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out1.17%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.17
Short Percent Of Float1.14%
Float Shares4.56B
Shares Short Prior Month72.18M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day27.51M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month28.74M
Date Short InterestOctober 31, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.45%
Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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