Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 40.93375

Intel Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 44.65  0.29  0.65%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish below 40.93375

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 44.65 30 days 40.93  about 99.0% about 1.23%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to drop to $ 40.93  or more in 30 days from now is about 1.23%. Probability of Intel price to stay between $ 40.93  and its current price of $44.65 at the end of the 30-day period is about 40.11%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Intel Corporation has beta of -0.5469 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Intel are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Intel Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intel Corporation has an alpha of 0.430285331031818 implying that it can potentially generate 0.430285331031818% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
~ 1%
Odds to drop to $ 40.93  or more in 30 days
 Intel Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
βBeta against DOW=0.55
Overall volatility
 IrInformation ratio =0.18