Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 40.93375

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 46.66  0.51  1.11%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 40.93375

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 40.93  in 30 days
 46.66 30 days 40.93  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to stay above $ 40.93  in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Intel Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Intel price to stay between $ 40.93  and its current price of $46.66 at the end of the 30-day period is about 42.6%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Intel has beta of 0.9823 . This indicates Intel Corporation market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Intel is expected to follow. Additionally Intel Corporation has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Intel Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.2
β
Beta against DOW=0.98
σ
Overall volatility
=1.32
Ir
Information ratio =0.16

Intel Alerts

Intel Alerts and Suggestions

Intel generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On August 6, 2018 Intel paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Robert Swan of tradable shares of Intel subject to Rule 16b-3

Price Density Drivers

Intel Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out1.74%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.14
Short Percent Of Float1.71%
Float Shares4.61B
Shares Short Prior Month83.31M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day23.01M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month24.85M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.51%
Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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