Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 45.58

Intel Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 45.56  0.76  1.64%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish below 45.58

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 45.56 30 days 45.58  about 59.23% about 40.49%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to stay under $ 45.58  after 30 days from now is about 40.49%. Probability of Intel price to stay between its current price of $ 45.56  and $ 45.58  at the end of the 30-day period is near 1%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0629 . This indicates Intel Corporation market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Intel is expected to follow. Additionally Intel Corporation has an alpha of 0.3874597328499999 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3874597328499999% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
40.0%
Odds to stay under $ 45.58  after 30 days
 Intel Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.39
β
Beta against DOW=1.06
σ
Overall volatility
=1.86
Ir
Information ratio =0.12