Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 46.36

Intel Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 45.65  1.02  2.29%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 46.36

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 45.65 30 days 46.36  about 22.04% about 77.79%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to move over $ 46.36  or more in 30 days from now is about 22.04%. Probability of Intel price to stay between its current price of $ 45.65  and $ 46.36  at the end of the 30-day period is about 9.45%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.7212 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Intel will likely underperform. Additionally Intel Corporation has an alpha of 0.44668755707272706 implying that it can potentially generate 0.44668755707272706% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
22.0%
Odds to move over $ 46.36  or more in 30 days
 Intel Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.45
βBeta against DOW=1.72
σ
Overall volatility
=2.46
 IrInformation ratio =0.24