Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 46.36

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 46.50  0.60  1.27%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 46.36

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 46.36  in 30 days
 46.50 30 days 46.36  UNDER 95%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to stay above $ 46.36  in 30 days from now is under 95% (This Intel Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Intel price to stay between $ 46.36  and its current price of $46.5 at the end of the 30-day period is near 1%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Intel has beta of 0.6848 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Intel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Intel Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intel Corporation has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Intel Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.52
β
Beta against DOW=0.68
σ
Overall volatility
=1.87
Ir
Information ratio =0.26

Intel Alerts

Intel Alerts and Suggestions
Intel generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On August 6, 2018 Intel paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Robert Swan of tradable shares of Intel subject to Rule 16b-3
Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.