Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 46.36

Intel Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 44.48  0.34  0.76%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 46.36

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 44.48 30 days 46.36  about 21.34% about 78.41%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to move over $ 46.36  or more in 30 days from now is about 21.34%. Probability of Intel price to stay between its current price of $ 44.48  and $ 46.36  at the end of the 30-day period is about 47.68%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Intel has beta of 0.7449 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Intel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Intel Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intel Corporation has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
21.0%
Odds to move over $ 46.36  or more in 30 days
 Intel Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.31
β
Beta against DOW=0.74
σ
Overall volatility
=1.46
Ir
Information ratio =0.23