Intel Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 46.36

Intel Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 51.45  1.60  3.02%

Intel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intel Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intel odds to be computed. Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intel Target Price Odds to finish over 46.36

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 51.45 30 days 46.36  close to 99% near 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intel to stay above $ 46.36  in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Intel Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Intel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Intel price to stay between $ 46.36  and its current price of $51.45 at the end of the 30-day period is about 65.57%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Intel has beta of 0.4038 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Intel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Intel Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intel Corporation has an alpha of 0.26633539813636353 implying that it can potentially generate 0.26633539813636353% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
> 99%
Odds to stay above $ 46.36  in 30 days
 Intel Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.27
β
Beta against DOW=0.40
σ
Overall volatility
=1.41
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

Current Sentiment - INTC

Intel Investor Sentiment
Majority of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Intel Corporation. What is your judgment towards investing in Intel Corporation? Are you bullish or bearish?
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98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Please also check Intel Backtesting, Intel Valuation, Intel Correlation, Intel Hype Analysis, Intel Volatility, Intel History as well as Intel Performance. Please also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.