Invesco Quality Municipal Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.82
| IQI Stock | USD 9.39 0.04 0.43% |
Invesco |
Invesco Quality Target Price Odds to finish below 11.82
The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.82 after 90 days |
| 9.39 | 90 days | 11.82 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Quality to stay under $ 11.82 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Invesco Quality Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Quality Municipal price to stay between its current price of $ 9.39 and $ 11.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.78 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Quality has a beta of 0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Invesco Quality average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Quality Municipal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Quality Municipal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Invesco Quality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Quality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Quality Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Quality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Quality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Quality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Quality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Quality Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Quality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Invesco Quality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Quality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Quality Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Reported Net Loss for the year was (87.81 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 41.38 M. | |
| Invesco Quality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Invesco Quality paid $ 0.0403 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Invesco Quality Municipal Income Trust Shares Bought by Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC - Defense World |
Invesco Quality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Quality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Quality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -142.8 M |
Invesco Quality Technical Analysis
Invesco Quality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Quality Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Quality Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Quality's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Quality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Quality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Quality Municipal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Quality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Quality Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (87.81 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 41.38 M. | |
| Invesco Quality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Invesco Quality paid $ 0.0403 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Invesco Quality Municipal Income Trust Shares Bought by Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC - Defense World |
Check out Invesco Quality Backtesting, Invesco Quality Valuation, Invesco Quality Correlation, Invesco Quality Hype Analysis, Invesco Quality Volatility, Invesco Quality History as well as Invesco Quality Performance. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
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When running Invesco Quality's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Quality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Quality is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Quality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Quality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Quality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Quality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Invesco Quality's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Quality. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Quality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Dividend Share 0.472 | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share 0.778 | Return On Assets 0.0242 |
The market value of Invesco Quality Municipal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Quality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Quality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Quality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Quality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Quality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Quality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Quality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.