Iron Road Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.082

IRNRF Stock  USD 0.03  0.00  0.00%   
Iron Road's future price is the expected price of Iron Road instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Iron Road Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Iron Road Backtesting, Iron Road Valuation, Iron Road Correlation, Iron Road Hype Analysis, Iron Road Volatility, Iron Road History as well as Iron Road Performance.
  
Please specify Iron Road's target price for which you would like Iron Road odds to be computed.

Iron Road Target Price Odds to finish below 0.082

The tendency of Iron Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.08  after 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.08 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iron Road to stay under $ 0.08  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Iron Road Limited probability density function shows the probability of Iron Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iron Road Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03  and $ 0.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Iron Road Limited has a beta of -0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Iron Road are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Iron Road Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Iron Road Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Iron Road Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Iron Road

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iron Road Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Iron Road's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.033.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.033.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Iron Road. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Iron Road's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Iron Road's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Iron Road Limited.

Iron Road Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iron Road is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iron Road's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iron Road Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iron Road within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.47
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Iron Road Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iron Road for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iron Road Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iron Road Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Iron Road Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Iron Road Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Iron Road Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 38. Net Loss for the year was (4.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.
Iron Road Limited has accumulated about 1.89 M in cash with (2.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Iron Road Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Iron Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Iron Road's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iron Road's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding799 M

Iron Road Technical Analysis

Iron Road's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iron Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iron Road Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iron Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Iron Road Predictive Forecast Models

Iron Road's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iron Road's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iron Road's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Iron Road Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Iron Road for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iron Road Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iron Road Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Iron Road Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Iron Road Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Iron Road Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 38. Net Loss for the year was (4.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.
Iron Road Limited has accumulated about 1.89 M in cash with (2.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Iron Road Backtesting, Iron Road Valuation, Iron Road Correlation, Iron Road Hype Analysis, Iron Road Volatility, Iron Road History as well as Iron Road Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Iron Pink Sheet analysis

When running Iron Road's price analysis, check to measure Iron Road's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Iron Road is operating at the current time. Most of Iron Road's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Iron Road's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Iron Road's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Iron Road to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Iron Road's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Iron Road is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Iron Road's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.