Invesco Technology Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 42.47
| ITHCX Fund | USD 35.83 0.25 0.69% |
Invesco |
Invesco Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 42.47
The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 42.47 or more in 90 days |
| 35.83 | 90 days | 42.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Technology to move over $ 42.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Technology Fund probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Technology price to stay between its current price of $ 35.83 and $ 42.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.48 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Invesco Technology will likely underperform. Additionally Invesco Technology Fund has an alpha of 0.0126, implying that it can generate a 0.0126 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invesco Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Technology Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Invesco Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Trudeau Administration Should Stop Eyeing Canadians Pensions - National Review | |
| The fund retains 98.03% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Invesco Technology Technical Analysis
Invesco Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Technology Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Technology's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Trudeau Administration Should Stop Eyeing Canadians Pensions - National Review | |
| The fund retains 98.03% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Invesco Technology Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Technology Correlation, Invesco Technology Hype Analysis, Invesco Technology Volatility, Invesco Technology History as well as Invesco Technology Performance. Note that the Invesco Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.