Keyware Technologies (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.69
| KEYW Stock | EUR 0.87 0.03 3.33% |
Keyware |
Keyware Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.69
The tendency of Keyware Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.69 or more in 90 days |
| 0.87 | 90 days | 0.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keyware Technologies to drop to € 0.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Keyware Technologies NV probability density function shows the probability of Keyware Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keyware Technologies price to stay between € 0.69 and its current price of €0.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Keyware Technologies has a beta of 0.0961. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Keyware Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Keyware Technologies NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Keyware Technologies NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Keyware Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Keyware Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keyware Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keyware Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Keyware Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keyware Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keyware Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keyware Technologies NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keyware Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Keyware Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keyware Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keyware Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Keyware Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keyware Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Keyware Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Keyware Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keyware Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keyware Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keyware Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 M |
Keyware Technologies Technical Analysis
Keyware Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keyware Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keyware Technologies NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keyware Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Keyware Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Keyware Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Keyware Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keyware Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Keyware Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Keyware Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keyware Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Keyware Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keyware Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Keyware Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Keyware Technologies Backtesting, Keyware Technologies Valuation, Keyware Technologies Correlation, Keyware Technologies Hype Analysis, Keyware Technologies Volatility, Keyware Technologies History as well as Keyware Technologies Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Keyware Stock analysis
When running Keyware Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Keyware Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keyware Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Keyware Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keyware Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keyware Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keyware Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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