Keller Group Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 14.05

KLRGF Stock  USD 12.97  0.29  2.19%   
Keller Group's future price is the expected price of Keller Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Keller Group plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Keller Group Backtesting, Keller Group Valuation, Keller Group Correlation, Keller Group Hype Analysis, Keller Group Volatility, Keller Group History as well as Keller Group Performance.
  
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Keller Group Target Price Odds to finish over 14.05

The tendency of Keller Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.05  or more in 90 days
 12.97 90 days 14.05 
about 1.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keller Group to move over $ 14.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.13 (This Keller Group plc probability density function shows the probability of Keller Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keller Group plc price to stay between its current price of $ 12.97  and $ 14.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Keller Group has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Keller Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Keller Group plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Keller Group plc has an alpha of 0.2168, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Keller Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Keller Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keller Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keller Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0612.9714.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7714.6816.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Keller Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Keller Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Keller Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Keller Group plc.

Keller Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keller Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keller Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keller Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keller Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Keller Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keller Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keller Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Keller Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keller Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keller Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keller Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.3 M

Keller Group Technical Analysis

Keller Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keller Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keller Group plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keller Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Keller Group Predictive Forecast Models

Keller Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Keller Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keller Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Keller Group plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Keller Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keller Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Keller Group Backtesting, Keller Group Valuation, Keller Group Correlation, Keller Group Hype Analysis, Keller Group Volatility, Keller Group History as well as Keller Group Performance.
Note that the Keller Group plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Keller Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for Keller Pink Sheet analysis

When running Keller Group's price analysis, check to measure Keller Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keller Group is operating at the current time. Most of Keller Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keller Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keller Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keller Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Keller Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keller Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keller Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.