Knowles Cor Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.4

KN Stock  USD 16.10  0.40  2.55%   
Knowles Cor's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Knowles Cor. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Knowles Cor based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Knowles Cor over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $15.0 is a CALL option contract on Knowles Cor's common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $1.8. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 58.39. View All Knowles options

Closest to current price Knowles long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Knowles Cor's future price is the expected price of Knowles Cor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Knowles Cor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Knowles Cor Backtesting, Knowles Cor Valuation, Knowles Cor Correlation, Knowles Cor Hype Analysis, Knowles Cor Volatility, Knowles Cor History as well as Knowles Cor Performance.
To learn how to invest in Knowles Stock, please use our How to Invest in Knowles Cor guide.
  
At this time, Knowles Cor's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 15.69, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.58. Please specify Knowles Cor's target price for which you would like Knowles Cor odds to be computed.

Knowles Cor Target Price Odds to finish below 14.4

The tendency of Knowles Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.40  or more in 90 days
 16.10 90 days 14.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Knowles Cor to drop to $ 14.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Knowles Cor probability density function shows the probability of Knowles Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Knowles Cor price to stay between $ 14.40  and its current price of $16.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.53 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.79 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Knowles Cor will likely underperform. Additionally Knowles Cor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Knowles Cor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Knowles Cor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knowles Cor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Knowles Cor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9715.6717.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1317.7119.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.7815.4817.18
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.5919.3321.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Knowles Cor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Knowles Cor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Knowles Cor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Knowles Cor.

Knowles Cor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Knowles Cor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Knowles Cor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Knowles Cor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Knowles Cor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.42
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Knowles Cor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Knowles Cor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Knowles Cor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Knowles Cor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Notice on Convocation of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders of AB KN Energies

Knowles Cor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Knowles Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Knowles Cor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knowles Cor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments87.3 M

Knowles Cor Technical Analysis

Knowles Cor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Knowles Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Knowles Cor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Knowles Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Knowles Cor Predictive Forecast Models

Knowles Cor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Knowles Cor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Knowles Cor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Knowles Cor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Knowles Cor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Knowles Cor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Knowles Cor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Notice on Convocation of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders of AB KN Energies
When determining whether Knowles Cor offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Knowles Cor's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Knowles Cor Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Knowles Cor Stock:
Check out Knowles Cor Backtesting, Knowles Cor Valuation, Knowles Cor Correlation, Knowles Cor Hype Analysis, Knowles Cor Volatility, Knowles Cor History as well as Knowles Cor Performance.
To learn how to invest in Knowles Stock, please use our How to Invest in Knowles Cor guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Complementary Tools for Knowles Stock analysis

When running Knowles Cor's price analysis, check to measure Knowles Cor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Knowles Cor is operating at the current time. Most of Knowles Cor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Knowles Cor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Knowles Cor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Knowles Cor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Is Knowles Cor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Knowles Cor. If investors know Knowles will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Knowles Cor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.093
Earnings Share
0.79
Revenue Per Share
7.784
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.092
Return On Assets
0.0245
The market value of Knowles Cor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Knowles that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Knowles Cor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Knowles Cor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Knowles Cor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Knowles Cor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Knowles Cor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Knowles Cor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Knowles Cor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.