The Coca Cola Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 50.96

KO Stock  USD 61.03  0.49  0.81%   
Coca Cola's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on The Coca Cola. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Coca Cola based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in The Coca Cola over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $61.0 is a CALL option contract on Coca Cola's common stock with a strick price of 61.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:54:18 for $0.18 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.18, and an ask price of $0.2. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 12.86. View All Coca options

Closest to current price Coca long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Coca Cola's future price is the expected price of Coca Cola instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Coca Cola performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance.
  
At this time, Coca Cola's Price Cash Flow Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Fair Value is likely to grow to 10.76, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 3.86. Please specify Coca Cola's target price for which you would like Coca Cola odds to be computed.

Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish over 50.96

The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 50.96  in 90 days
 61.03 90 days 50.96 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to stay above $ 50.96  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This The Coca Cola probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca-Cola price to stay between $ 50.96  and its current price of $61.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Coca Cola has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Coca Cola will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Coca Cola has an alpha of 0.0324, implying that it can generate a 0.0324 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Coca Cola Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca-Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coca Cola's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.3461.0661.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.4661.1861.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.7161.4362.15
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.3961.9768.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coca Cola. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coca Cola's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coca Cola's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coca-Cola.

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Coca Cola, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca-Cola can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from al.com: Heres whats different about the new Coca Cola bottles

Coca Cola Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 B

Coca Cola Technical Analysis

Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Coca Cola. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models

Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coca-Cola

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca-Cola help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from al.com: Heres whats different about the new Coca Cola bottles
When determining whether Coca-Cola offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Coca Cola's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of The Coca Cola Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on The Coca Cola Stock:

Complementary Tools for Coca Stock analysis

When running Coca Cola's price analysis, check to measure Coca Cola's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coca Cola is operating at the current time. Most of Coca Cola's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coca Cola's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coca Cola's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coca Cola to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Coca Cola's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coca Cola. If investors know Coca will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coca Cola listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Dividend Share
1.84
Earnings Share
2.47
Revenue Per Share
10.584
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.072
The market value of Coca-Cola is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coca that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coca Cola's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coca Cola's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coca Cola's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coca Cola's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coca Cola is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.