Kwg Group Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.35
| KWGPF Stock | USD 0.06 0.00 0.00% |
KWG |
KWG Group Target Price Odds to finish over 1.35
The tendency of KWG Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.35 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 1.35 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KWG Group to move over $ 1.35 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This KWG Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of KWG Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KWG Group Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06 and $ 1.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KWG Group Holdings has a beta of -1.09. This indicates Additionally KWG Group Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. KWG Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KWG Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KWG Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KWG Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KWG Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KWG Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KWG Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KWG Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KWG Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.55 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
KWG Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KWG Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KWG Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KWG Group Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KWG Group Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KWG Group Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KWG Group Holdings has accumulated about 22.2 B in cash with (21.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.97, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
KWG Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KWG Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KWG Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KWG Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 B |
KWG Group Technical Analysis
KWG Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KWG Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KWG Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing KWG Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KWG Group Predictive Forecast Models
KWG Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many KWG Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KWG Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KWG Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about KWG Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KWG Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KWG Group Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KWG Group Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KWG Group Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KWG Group Holdings has accumulated about 22.2 B in cash with (21.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.97, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out KWG Group Backtesting, KWG Group Valuation, KWG Group Correlation, KWG Group Hype Analysis, KWG Group Volatility, KWG Group History as well as KWG Group Performance. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Complementary Tools for KWG Pink Sheet analysis
When running KWG Group's price analysis, check to measure KWG Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KWG Group is operating at the current time. Most of KWG Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KWG Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KWG Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KWG Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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