Las Vegas Sands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 70.83

LVS Stock  USD 51.70  0.22  0.43%   
Las Vegas' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Las Vegas Sands. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Las Vegas based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Las Vegas Sands over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $52.0 is a CALL option contract on Las Vegas' common stock with a strick price of 52.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:56:54 for $0.1 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.14. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 26.75. View All Las options

Closest to current price Las long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Las Vegas' future price is the expected price of Las Vegas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Las Vegas Sands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Las Vegas Backtesting, Las Vegas Valuation, Las Vegas Correlation, Las Vegas Hype Analysis, Las Vegas Volatility, Las Vegas History as well as Las Vegas Performance.
  
Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to gain to 20.01 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 29.21 in 2024. Please specify Las Vegas' target price for which you would like Las Vegas odds to be computed.

Las Vegas Target Price Odds to finish over 70.83

The tendency of Las Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 70.83  or more in 90 days
 51.70 90 days 70.83 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Las Vegas to move over $ 70.83  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Las Vegas Sands probability density function shows the probability of Las Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Las Vegas Sands price to stay between its current price of $ 51.70  and $ 70.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.73 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This indicates Las Vegas Sands market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Las Vegas is expected to follow. Additionally Las Vegas Sands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Las Vegas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Las Vegas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Las Vegas Sands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Las Vegas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.8051.5853.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.3358.7860.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.1452.9154.69
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
60.1166.0573.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Las Vegas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Las Vegas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Las Vegas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Las Vegas Sands.

Las Vegas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Las Vegas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Las Vegas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Las Vegas Sands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Las Vegas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Las Vegas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Las Vegas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Las Vegas Sands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 14th of February 2024 Las Vegas paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Mizuho sets Buy rating for Las Vegas Sands stock with 70 target

Las Vegas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Las Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Las Vegas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Las Vegas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding765 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.1 B

Las Vegas Technical Analysis

Las Vegas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Las Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Las Vegas Sands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Las Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Las Vegas Predictive Forecast Models

Las Vegas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Las Vegas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Las Vegas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Las Vegas Sands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Las Vegas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Las Vegas Sands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 14th of February 2024 Las Vegas paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Mizuho sets Buy rating for Las Vegas Sands stock with 70 target
When determining whether Las Vegas Sands is a strong investment it is important to analyze Las Vegas' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Las Vegas' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Las Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running Las Vegas' price analysis, check to measure Las Vegas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Las Vegas is operating at the current time. Most of Las Vegas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Las Vegas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Las Vegas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Las Vegas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Las Vegas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Las Vegas. If investors know Las will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Las Vegas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.6
Revenue Per Share
13.594
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.61
The market value of Las Vegas Sands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Las that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Las Vegas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Las Vegas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Las Vegas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Las Vegas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Las Vegas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Las Vegas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Las Vegas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.