ManTech International Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.49

MANTDelisted Stock  USD 95.98  0.00  0.00%   
ManTech International's future price is the expected price of ManTech International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ManTech International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
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ManTech International Target Price Odds to finish below 45.49

The tendency of ManTech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 45.49  or more in 90 days
 95.98 90 days 45.49 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ManTech International to drop to $ 45.49  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ManTech International probability density function shows the probability of ManTech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ManTech International price to stay between $ 45.49  and its current price of $95.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ManTech International has a beta of -0.0298. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ManTech International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, ManTech International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ManTech International has an alpha of 0.0161, implying that it can generate a 0.0161 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ManTech International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ManTech International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ManTech International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ManTech International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.9895.9895.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.3281.32105.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.0296.0296.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.9895.9895.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ManTech International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ManTech International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ManTech International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ManTech International.

ManTech International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ManTech International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ManTech International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ManTech International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ManTech International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.84

ManTech International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ManTech International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ManTech International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ManTech International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
ManTech International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

ManTech International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ManTech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ManTech International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ManTech International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.49%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.28
Short Percent Of Float5.79%
Float Shares27.46M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day480.06k
Shares Short Prior Month831.7k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month281.01k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.33%

ManTech International Technical Analysis

ManTech International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ManTech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ManTech International. In general, you should focus on analyzing ManTech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ManTech International Predictive Forecast Models

ManTech International's time-series forecasting models is one of many ManTech International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ManTech International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ManTech International

Checking the ongoing alerts about ManTech International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ManTech International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ManTech International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
ManTech International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in ManTech Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ManTech International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ManTech International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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