Mavshack Publ (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.3315

MAV Stock  SEK 0.1  0.01  12.73%   
Mavshack Publ's future price is the expected price of Mavshack Publ instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mavshack Publ AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mavshack Publ Backtesting, Mavshack Publ Valuation, Mavshack Publ Correlation, Mavshack Publ Hype Analysis, Mavshack Publ Volatility, Mavshack Publ History as well as Mavshack Publ Performance.
  
Please specify Mavshack Publ's target price for which you would like Mavshack Publ odds to be computed.

Mavshack Publ Target Price Odds to finish over 0.3315

The tendency of Mavshack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 0.33  or more in 90 days
 0.1 90 days 0.33 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mavshack Publ to move over kr 0.33  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mavshack Publ AB probability density function shows the probability of Mavshack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mavshack Publ AB price to stay between its current price of kr 0.1  and kr 0.33  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mavshack Publ has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mavshack Publ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mavshack Publ AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mavshack Publ AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Mavshack Publ Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mavshack Publ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mavshack Publ AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mavshack Publ's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.106.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.096.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.116.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.100.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mavshack Publ. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mavshack Publ's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mavshack Publ's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mavshack Publ AB.

Mavshack Publ Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mavshack Publ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mavshack Publ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mavshack Publ AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mavshack Publ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.78
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Mavshack Publ Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mavshack Publ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mavshack Publ AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mavshack Publ AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mavshack Publ AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mavshack Publ AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mavshack Publ AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mavshack Publ until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mavshack Publ's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mavshack Publ AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mavshack to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mavshack Publ's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Mavshack Publ AB reported the revenue of 48.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.61 M.
Mavshack Publ AB has accumulated about 3.31 M in cash with (30.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Mavshack Publ Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mavshack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mavshack Publ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mavshack Publ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding715.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 M

Mavshack Publ Technical Analysis

Mavshack Publ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mavshack Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mavshack Publ AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mavshack Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mavshack Publ Predictive Forecast Models

Mavshack Publ's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mavshack Publ's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mavshack Publ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mavshack Publ AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mavshack Publ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mavshack Publ AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mavshack Publ AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mavshack Publ AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mavshack Publ AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mavshack Publ AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mavshack Publ until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mavshack Publ's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mavshack Publ AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mavshack to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mavshack Publ's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Mavshack Publ AB reported the revenue of 48.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.61 M.
Mavshack Publ AB has accumulated about 3.31 M in cash with (30.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Mavshack Publ Backtesting, Mavshack Publ Valuation, Mavshack Publ Correlation, Mavshack Publ Hype Analysis, Mavshack Publ Volatility, Mavshack Publ History as well as Mavshack Publ Performance.
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Complementary Tools for Mavshack Stock analysis

When running Mavshack Publ's price analysis, check to measure Mavshack Publ's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mavshack Publ is operating at the current time. Most of Mavshack Publ's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mavshack Publ's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mavshack Publ's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mavshack Publ to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mavshack Publ's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mavshack Publ is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mavshack Publ's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.