Macatawa Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.38
| MCBC Stock | USD 14.30 0.02 0.14% |
Closest to current price Macatawa long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Macatawa |
Macatawa Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 12.38
The tendency of Macatawa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.38 or more in 90 days |
| 14.30 | 90 days | 12.38 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macatawa Bank to drop to $ 12.38 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Macatawa Bank probability density function shows the probability of Macatawa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Macatawa Bank price to stay between $ 12.38 and its current price of $14.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.19 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Macatawa Bank has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Macatawa Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Macatawa Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Macatawa Bank has an alpha of 0.4906, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Macatawa Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Macatawa Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macatawa Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Macatawa Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Macatawa Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macatawa Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macatawa Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macatawa Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macatawa Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Macatawa Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Macatawa Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Macatawa Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Macatawa Bank is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Macatawa Bank appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 28th of February 2024 Macatawa Bank paid $ 0.09 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Wintrust Financial Corporation Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Macatawa Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Macatawa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Macatawa Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macatawa Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 483.3 M |
Macatawa Bank Technical Analysis
Macatawa Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Macatawa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Macatawa Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Macatawa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Macatawa Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Macatawa Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Macatawa Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Macatawa Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Macatawa Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Macatawa Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Macatawa Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Macatawa Bank is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Macatawa Bank appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 28th of February 2024 Macatawa Bank paid $ 0.09 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Wintrust Financial Corporation Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Macatawa Bank Backtesting, Macatawa Bank Valuation, Macatawa Bank Correlation, Macatawa Bank Hype Analysis, Macatawa Bank Volatility, Macatawa Bank History as well as Macatawa Bank Performance. For information on how to trade Macatawa Stock refer to our How to Trade Macatawa Stock guide.Note that the Macatawa Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Macatawa Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for Macatawa Stock analysis
When running Macatawa Bank's price analysis, check to measure Macatawa Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macatawa Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Macatawa Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macatawa Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macatawa Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macatawa Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments |
Is Macatawa Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macatawa Bank. If investors know Macatawa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Macatawa Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Dividend Share 0.33 | Revenue Per Share 3.071 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets 0.0153 |
The market value of Macatawa Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macatawa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macatawa Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macatawa Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macatawa Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macatawa Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macatawa Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macatawa Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macatawa Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.