Marchex Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.0
| MCHX Stock | USD 1.25 0.01 0.79% |
Marchex |
Marchex Target Price Odds to finish over 3.0
The tendency of Marchex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.00 or more in 90 days |
| 1.25 | 90 days | 3.00 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marchex to move over $ 3.00 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Marchex probability density function shows the probability of Marchex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marchex price to stay between its current price of $ 1.25 and $ 3.00 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Marchex will likely underperform. Additionally Marchex has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Marchex Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marchex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marchex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marchex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marchex Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marchex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marchex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marchex, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marchex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Marchex Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marchex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marchex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marchex may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Marchex had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 49.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.71 M. | |
| Marchex currently holds about 24.82 M in cash with (4.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.6. | |
| Marchex has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Marchex Coverage Initiated by Analysts at StockNews.com - MarketBeat |
Marchex Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marchex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marchex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marchex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.6 M |
Marchex Technical Analysis
Marchex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marchex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marchex. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marchex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marchex Predictive Forecast Models
Marchex's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marchex's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marchex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marchex
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marchex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marchex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marchex may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Marchex had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 49.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.71 M. | |
| Marchex currently holds about 24.82 M in cash with (4.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.6. | |
| Marchex has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Marchex Coverage Initiated by Analysts at StockNews.com - MarketBeat |
Check out Marchex Backtesting, Marchex Valuation, Marchex Correlation, Marchex Hype Analysis, Marchex Volatility, Marchex History as well as Marchex Performance. For more information on how to buy Marchex Stock please use our How to Invest in Marchex guide.Note that the Marchex information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Marchex's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Marchex Stock analysis
When running Marchex's price analysis, check to measure Marchex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marchex is operating at the current time. Most of Marchex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marchex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marchex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marchex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Marchex's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marchex. If investors know Marchex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marchex listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.23) | Revenue Per Share 1.171 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.008 | Return On Assets (0.12) | Return On Equity (0.25) |
The market value of Marchex is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marchex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marchex's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marchex's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marchex's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marchex's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marchex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marchex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marchex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.