Medtronic Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.19
MDT Stock | USD 80.57 1.09 1.37% |
Closest to current price Medtronic long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Medtronic |
Medtronic PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 66.19
The tendency of Medtronic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 66.19 or more in 90 days |
80.57 | 90 days | 66.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medtronic PLC to drop to $ 66.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Medtronic PLC probability density function shows the probability of Medtronic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Medtronic PLC price to stay between $ 66.19 and its current price of $80.57 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.27 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Medtronic PLC has a beta of 0.98. This indicates Medtronic PLC market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Medtronic PLC is expected to follow. Additionally Medtronic PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Medtronic PLC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Medtronic PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medtronic PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Medtronic PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Medtronic PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medtronic PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medtronic PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medtronic PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medtronic PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Medtronic PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Medtronic PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Medtronic PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Medtronic PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 12th of April 2024 Medtronic PLC paid $ 0.69 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: Medtronic Laps the Stock Market Heres Why |
Medtronic PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Medtronic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Medtronic PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medtronic PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 B |
Medtronic PLC Technical Analysis
Medtronic PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medtronic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medtronic PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medtronic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Medtronic PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Medtronic PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Medtronic PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medtronic PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Medtronic PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Medtronic PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Medtronic PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Medtronic PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 12th of April 2024 Medtronic PLC paid $ 0.69 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: Medtronic Laps the Stock Market Heres Why |
Check out Medtronic PLC Backtesting, Medtronic PLC Valuation, Medtronic PLC Correlation, Medtronic PLC Hype Analysis, Medtronic PLC Volatility, Medtronic PLC History as well as Medtronic PLC Performance. For more information on how to buy Medtronic Stock please use our How to Invest in Medtronic PLC guide.Note that the Medtronic PLC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Medtronic PLC's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Medtronic Stock analysis
When running Medtronic PLC's price analysis, check to measure Medtronic PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medtronic PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Medtronic PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medtronic PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medtronic PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medtronic PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Medtronic PLC's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Medtronic PLC. If investors know Medtronic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Medtronic PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.078 | Dividend Share 2.75 | Earnings Share 3.15 | Revenue Per Share 24.298 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
The market value of Medtronic PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Medtronic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Medtronic PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Medtronic PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Medtronic PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Medtronic PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Medtronic PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Medtronic PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Medtronic PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.