The Merger Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 17.05
| MERFX Fund | USD 17.05 0.03 0.18% |
The |
The Merger Target Price Odds to finish over 17.05
The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.05 | 90 days | 17.05 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Merger to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This The Merger Fund probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Merger has a beta of 0.0626. This indicates as returns on the market go up, The Merger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Merger Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Merger Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. The Merger Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for The Merger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merger Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Merger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
The Merger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Merger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Merger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Merger Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Merger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.72 |
The Merger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Merger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merger Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Merger Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 25.53% of its assets in cash |
The Merger Technical Analysis
The Merger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. The Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Merger Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing The Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
The Merger Predictive Forecast Models
The Merger's time-series forecasting models is one of many The Merger's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary The Merger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Merger Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about The Merger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Merger Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Merger Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 25.53% of its assets in cash |
Check out The Merger Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, The Merger Correlation, The Merger Hype Analysis, The Merger Volatility, The Merger History as well as The Merger Performance. Note that the Merger Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other The Merger's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.