MetLife Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 54.47625

MET -- USA Stock  

USD 44.18  0.78  1.73%

MetLife probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of MetLife performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify MetLife time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like MetLife odds to be computed. Please see also MetLife Backtesting, MetLife Valuation, MetLife Correlation, MetLife Hype Analysis, MetLife Volatility, MetLife History as well as MetLife Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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MetLife Target Price Odds to finish below 54.47625

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 54.48  after 30 days
 44.18 30 days 54.48  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of MetLife to stay under $ 54.48  after 30 days from now is close to 99% (This MetLife probability density function shows the probability of MetLife Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of MetLife price to stay between its current price of $ 44.18  and $ 54.48  at the end of the 30-day period is about 68.84%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, MetLife has beta of 0.2576 indicating as returns on market go up, MetLife average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding MetLife will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MetLife has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 MetLife Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=0.26
σ
Overall volatility
=0.92
Ir
Information ratio =0.21

MetLife Alerts

MetLife Alerts and Suggestions
MetLife generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
MetLife has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MetLife has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 86.29 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 152.7 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. MetLife has Current Ratio of 0.97 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
About 82.0% of MetLife outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: MetLife exotic insider transaction detected
Please see also MetLife Backtesting, MetLife Valuation, MetLife Correlation, MetLife Hype Analysis, MetLife Volatility, MetLife History as well as MetLife Performance. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.